SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | FC Eindhoven | 37 | 26 | 70 |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
| 5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 54.34%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
54.34% ( -0.05) | 22.12% ( 0.01) | 23.53% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.48% ( -0.01) | 39.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.13% ( -0.01) | 61.86% ( 0.02) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -0.02) | 14.54% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.41% ( -0.04) | 42.58% ( 0.04) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.87% ( 0.02) | 30.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( 0.03) | 66.27% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.45% 2-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.34% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 23.53% |
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