Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 33 | -20 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | ADO Den Haag | 37 | 26 | 67 |
5 | SBV Excelsior | 37 | 25 | 65 |
6 | Roda JC | 37 | 26 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
46.54% ( -0.49) | 23.38% ( 0.05) | 30.08% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 61.34% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.96% ( 0) | 40.03% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.6% ( 0) | 62.4% ( -0) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.5% ( -0.19) | 17.5% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52% ( -0.33) | 48% ( 0.33) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( 0.28) | 25.65% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( 0.38) | 60.54% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.08% |
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