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Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | Second Round | 2nd Leg
May 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
E

Heracles
1 - 3
SBV Excelsior

Bakis (28')
Hoogma (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dallinga (47'), Wieffer (63'), Agrafiotis (83')
Horemans (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 1-3 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

We said: Heracles 2-0 SBV Excelsior

The onus is firmly on the home side to take control of proceedings as they set out to make up a three-goal deficit. While we expect them to come out on top in this one, we can see them just falling short on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
46.54% (-0.49 -0.49) 23.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.08% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 61.34% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.4% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)17.5% (0.189 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52% (-0.328 -0.33)48% (0.329 0.33)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.282 0.28)25.65% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.384 0.38)60.54% (-0.383 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 46.54%
    SBV Excelsior 30.08%
    Draw 23.38%
HeraclesDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 46.54%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.11% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.16% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.029 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-0 Heracles
Wednesday, May 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Sparta
Sunday, May 15 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Heracles
Wednesday, May 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 2-0 Heracles
Saturday, May 7 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 FC Twente
Saturday, April 30 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 0-1 Heracles
Sunday, April 24 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-0 Heracles
Wednesday, May 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: Roda JC 0-2 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 2-2 NAC Breda
Friday, May 6 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 2-2 SBV Excelsior
Friday, April 29 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: SBV Excelsior 3-3 Jong AZ
Friday, April 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: MVV 1-1 SBV Excelsior
Friday, April 15 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie


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