Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	ADO Den Haag
44.11%	23.55%	32.34%

Both teams to score 61.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.24%

39.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.89%

62.11%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.63%

18.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51%

49.49%

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87%

24.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57%

58.43%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 44.11%

ADO Den Haag 32.34%

Draw 23.54%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 6.36% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-2 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.62% Total : 44.11%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 7.59% 0-1 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.84% Total : 32.34%