SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oulu | Draw | Gnistan |
40.37% ( 0.01) | 24.67% ( 0.01) | 34.95% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( -0.06) | 44.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.27% ( -0.05) | 66.72% ( 0.05) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.02) | 21.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.75% ( -0.03) | 55.25% ( 0.03) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.04) | 24.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.63% ( -0.05) | 59.37% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oulu | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.95% |
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