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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
27.6% ( -0.73) | 21.34% ( 0.21) | 51.05% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 67.03% ( -1.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.21% ( -1.63) | 31.79% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.68% ( -1.93) | 53.31% ( 1.93) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( -1.29) | 23.03% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.15% ( -1.93) | 56.85% ( 1.93) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.1% ( -0.42) | 12.9% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.68% ( -0.86) | 39.32% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.36)0-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.36% Total : 51.05% |
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