Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kitchee win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kitchee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
