Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Tractor Sazi had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Tractor Sazi win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.