Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 54.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Comoros had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Comoros win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
