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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 12, 2022 at 4.45pm UK
 
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Mauritania
0 - 1
Gambia


Ibnou Ba (28'), Moussa N'diaye (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jallow (10')
Colley (56'), Darboe (90+1'), Jallow (90+1')

We said: Mauritania 1-1 Gambia

Mauritania have struggled to get going since securing a spot at the tournament and will be looking to end their dry spell. While we expect both sides to take the game to each other in search of all three points, we anticipate the spoils will be shared in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawGambia
43.42%26.57%30%
Both teams to score 50.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05%53.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6%75.4%
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26%32.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71%69.29%
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 43.42%
    Gambia 30%
    Draw 26.57%
MauritaniaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 11.3%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.62%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30%

Read more!
Read more!


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