SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
47.15% ( -0.04) | 28.4% ( 0.03) | 24.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.03% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.08) | 63.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( -0.06) | 82.58% ( 0.06) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.06) | 26.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.08) | 62.33% ( 0.08) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.04) | 42.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.19% ( -0.03) | 78.8% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 14.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.2% 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.1% Total : 24.45% |
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