SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 39.84%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 29.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.64%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
39.84% ( 0.33) | 30.72% ( -0.12) | 29.44% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 39.4% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.11% ( 0.28) | 67.9% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.14% ( 0.18) | 85.86% ( -0.18) |
| Newell's Old Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.55% ( 0.36) | 33.45% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.92% ( 0.39) | 70.08% ( -0.39) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.02) | 40.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.63% ( -0.01) | 77.38% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 14.94% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.84% | 0-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.7% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 29.44% |
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