SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 75.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 9.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.98%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
75.15% ( -0.18) | 15.53% ( 0.18) | 9.32% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.74% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.88) | 37.06% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.96) | 59.25% ( 0.97) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.68% ( -0.24) | 8.32% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.99% ( -0.62) | 29.01% ( 0.63) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.6) | 46.83% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.64% ( -0.46) | 82.36% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 2-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.47% Total : 75.14% | 1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.82% Total : 15.53% | 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.32% |
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