SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 42.22%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.23%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rosario Central | Draw | Estudiantes |
42.22% ( 1.84) | 29.04% ( -0.92) | 28.74% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( 1.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( 2.54) | 63.14% ( -2.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.43% ( 1.8) | 82.57% ( -1.79) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 2.35) | 29.6% ( -2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( 2.77) | 65.63% ( -2.77) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( 0.7) | 38.66% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.6% ( 0.66) | 75.4% ( -0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.43)3-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.2)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.44% Total : 42.22% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( -1.13)2-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.27)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.56% Total : 28.73% |
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