SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.19%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
22.6% ( -0.04) | 29.34% ( -0.02) | 48.06% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.01% ( 0.03) | 66.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.74% ( 0.02) | 85.25% ( -0.03) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.48% ( -0.02) | 46.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.88% ( -0.02) | 82.12% ( 0.02) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.05) | 28.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 0.07) | 64.11% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.6% | 0-0 @ 13.19% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 29.33% | 0-1 @ 16.62% 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.45% Total : 48.05% |
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