SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 34.89%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 32.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 1-2 (6.29%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (14.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (16.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Tigre |
32.58% ( 0.17) | 32.53% ( 0.13) | 34.89% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 35.96% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.78% ( -0.31) | 72.22% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.38% ( -0.19) | 88.62% ( 0.19) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.11% ( -0.05) | 40.89% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.55% ( -0.05) | 77.45% ( 0.05) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.39) | 39.18% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( -0.37) | 75.89% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 14.32% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 32.57% | 0-0 @ 16.01% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.52% | 0-1 @ 15.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
