Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.