SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.27%) and 2-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (12.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Racing Club |
36.6% ( -0.05) | 30.65% ( 0.02) | 32.75% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 40.35% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.85% ( -0.04) | 67.15% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.63% ( -0.03) | 85.37% ( 0.03) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( -0.06) | 35.12% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.13% ( -0.06) | 71.87% ( 0.06) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.01) | 37.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% ( 0.01) | 74.58% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 13.89% 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.27% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.63% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.7% Total : 32.75% |
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