Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Jul 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Estadio José Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
2 - 2
River Plate

Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Perrone (59'), Garayalde (63'), Gomez (89'), Caseres (90'), de los Santos (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Beltran (7'), de la Cruz (30')
Gomez (16'), Simon (25'), Zuculini (84'), Casco (87'), Quintero (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

Last Six:

Last Game: River Plate 0-2 Godoy Cruz
Monday, July 11 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Estudiantes	13	15	28
3	River Plate	13	18	26
4	Boca Juniors	13	6	24

We said: Velez Sarsfield 1-2 River Plate

Buoyed by their cup win over Barracas Central, River Plate will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to move into the top half of the table. They face a Velez side who have suffered a slump in recent weeks and we predict they will come out victorious on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
30.88% ( -1.5)	27.36% ( 0.21)	41.76% ( 1.29)

Both teams to score 48.71% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.34% (

-1.22)

56.65% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.38% (

-0.99)

77.62% (

0.99)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.49% (

-1.69)

33.51% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.85% (

-1.89)

70.14% (

1.89)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.25% (

0.13)

26.75% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.98% (

0.17)

62.02% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 30.88%

River Plate 41.75%

Draw 27.36%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.43% Total : 30.88%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.36%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.41) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.04% Total : 41.75%