Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Energetik-BGU had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Energetik-BGU win was 1-0 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.