SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Minsk win with a probability of 44.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
44.3% ( -0.1) | 28.5% ( 0.01) | 27.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 43.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.98% ( -0) | 62.02% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.25% | 81.75% ( 0) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( -0.05) | 27.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( -0.07) | 63.54% ( 0.07) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( 0.07) | 39.31% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.99% ( 0.07) | 76.01% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 44.29% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 3.89% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.49% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 27.19% |
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