Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 35.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.