SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | FC Minsk |
46.19% ( -0.13) | 26.56% ( 0.07) | 27.26% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% ( -0.23) | 55.23% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% ( -0.19) | 76.46% ( 0.19) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( -0.16) | 23.88% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.93% ( -0.23) | 58.07% ( 0.23) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( -0.08) | 35.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( -0.08) | 72.3% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | FC Minsk |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 27.26% |
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