Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smolevichi win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Belshina had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Smolevichi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Belshina win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.