Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union SG in this match.