Genk
4 - 1
Mouscron

Ito (45+2'), Bongonda (55', 81'), Onuachu (63')
Onuachu (39')

FT(HT: 1-1)

da Costa (34')
Bakic (17'), Ciranni (38'), da Costa (79'), Badibanga (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Royal Excel Mouscron.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Royal Excel Mouscron had a probability of 12.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Royal Excel Mouscron win it was 0-1 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Royal Excel Mouscron
68.56%	18.65%	12.79%

Both teams to score 49.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.14%

41.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.74%

64.27%

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.85%

11.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.38%

35.62%

Royal Excel Mouscron Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.27%

43.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.1%

79.9%

Score Analysis

Genk 68.55%

Royal Excel Mouscron 12.79%

Draw 18.65%

Genk	Draw	Royal Excel Mouscron
2-0 @ 11.73% 1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 8.58% 3-1 @ 7.1% 4-0 @ 4.71% 4-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 2.94% 5-0 @ 2.06% 5-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.84% Total : 68.55%	1-1 @ 8.85% 0-0 @ 4.88% 2-2 @ 4.01% Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.65%	0-1 @ 4.03% 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-2 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.11% 1-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.31% Total : 12.79%