SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
51.47% ( -0.25) | 22.51% ( -0.04) | 26.02% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.46) | 38.83% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( 0.49) | 61.15% ( -0.49) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( 0.08) | 15.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.05% ( 0.15) | 43.94% ( -0.16) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( 0.46) | 27.81% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.6% ( 0.59) | 63.4% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.69% Total : 26.02% |
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