Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 49.41%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
