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Wednesday, April 24
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C
Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 1, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Pacaembu
F

Corinthians
1 - 3
Flamengo

Vitinho (89')
Roni (42')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ribeiro (7'), Henrique (40'), Henrique (45')
De Arrascaeta (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Corinthians win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
19.9%24.75%55.35%
Both teams to score 46.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.26%54.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94%76.06%
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.79%42.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.38%78.62%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28%19.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.26%51.74%
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 19.9%
    Flamengo 55.35%
    Draw 24.75%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.18%
2-1 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 3.1%
3-1 @ 1.45%
3-2 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.9%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 13.51%
0-2 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-3 @ 5.94%
1-3 @ 5.12%
0-4 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.21%
1-4 @ 2.08%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 55.35%

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