Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 64.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Cruzeiro
64.25% ( 1.38)	19.44% ( -0.37)	16.31% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.24% (

-0.16)

37.76% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40% (

-0.17)

60.01% (

0.17)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89% (

0.32)

11.11% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.48% (

0.69)

35.52% (

-0.69)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.72% (

-1.27)

36.29% (

1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

-1.31)

73.07% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 64.25%

Cruzeiro 16.31%

Draw 19.44%

Flamengo	Draw	Cruzeiro
2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.42% Total : 64.25%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.44%	1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.31%