Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
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