Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
