Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirassol win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirassol would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
