Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 46.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
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