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Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 30, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
3 - 1
Augsburg

Delaney (26'), Sancho (63'), Uduokhai (75' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hahn (10')
Iago (20')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 69.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 12.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
69.32%17.85%12.83%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.02%37.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.76%60.24%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1%9.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21%32.79%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84%41.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3%77.7%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 69.32%
    Augsburg 12.83%
    Draw 17.85%
Borussia DortmundDrawAugsburg
2-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 8.4%
3-1 @ 7.46%
4-0 @ 4.86%
4-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 3.31%
5-0 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 4.82%
Total : 69.32%
1-1 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.29%
0-0 @ 4.07%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.85%
1-2 @ 3.71%
0-1 @ 3.62%
0-2 @ 1.61%
2-3 @ 1.27%
1-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 12.83%

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