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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
May 16, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
4 - 0
Schalke

Braut Haaland (29'), Guerreiro (45', 63'), Hazard (48')
Delaney (53'), Piszczek (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sane (48'), Matondo (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
65.68%18.18%16.14%
Both teams to score 61.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09%31.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54%53.46%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.88%9.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.04%30.95%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63%69.36%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 65.68%
    Schalke 04 16.14%
    Draw 18.18%
Borussia DortmundDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 9.56%
2-0 @ 8.58%
3-1 @ 7.64%
1-0 @ 7.16%
3-0 @ 6.85%
4-1 @ 4.57%
3-2 @ 4.26%
4-0 @ 4.1%
4-2 @ 2.55%
5-1 @ 2.19%
5-0 @ 1.97%
5-2 @ 1.22%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 65.68%
1-1 @ 7.98%
2-2 @ 5.33%
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.18%
1-2 @ 4.45%
0-1 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 1.98%
0-2 @ 1.86%
1-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 16.14%


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