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FL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
DL

Freiburg
2 - 1
Dortmund

Grifo (6'), Sallai (53')
Demirovic (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Keitel (59' og.)
Malen (19'), Dahoud (34'), Akanji (61'), Guerreiro (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-3 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Freiburg win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
14.67%17.71%67.61%
Both teams to score 59.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.23%32.76%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.54%54.46%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86%35.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11%71.89%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.08%8.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.54%30.46%
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 14.67%
    Borussia Dortmund 67.61%
    Draw 17.71%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 4.14%
1-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 1.75%
2-0 @ 1.71%
3-1 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 14.67%
1-1 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 3.13%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.71%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-2 @ 9.16%
1-3 @ 7.72%
0-1 @ 7.57%
0-3 @ 7.38%
1-4 @ 4.67%
0-4 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 4.04%
2-4 @ 2.44%
1-5 @ 2.26%
0-5 @ 2.16%
2-5 @ 1.18%
1-6 @ 0.91%
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 67.61%

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