Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
