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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
W

Hoffenheim
0 - 1
Wolfsburg


Moerstedt (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Amine Amoura (29')
Tomas (8'), Vavro (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Dortmund
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg's recent defensive record should give Hoffenheim confidence that they can at least prevent the visitors from keeping a clean sheet. However, it is hard to overlook the hosts' poor form under Ilzer, and considering Hasenhuttl's side have been difficult to beat away from home, it would not be surprising if Wolfsburg left with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
46.56% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42) 23.21% (-0.041 -0.04) 30.23% (0.469 0.47)
Both teams to score 62.07% (0.462 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (0.478 0.48)39.12% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.55% (0.501 0.5)61.45% (-0.496 -0.5)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.86% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.14% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)47.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.53699999999999 0.54)25.1% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (0.735 0.73)59.79% (-0.73 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 46.56%
    Wolfsburg 30.23%
    Draw 23.2%
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.39% (0.063 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.044 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 30.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-0 FCSB
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 Freiburg
Sunday, December 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 2-0 Hoffenheim
Sunday, December 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-3 Dortmund
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 4-3 Mainz
Sunday, December 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 1-5 Wolfsburg
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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