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Thursday, March 28
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KL
Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 24, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
LL

FC Koln
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.3%23.4%49.3%
Both teams to score 59.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05%41.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64%64.35%
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.49%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.71%64.28%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82%17.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56%47.43%
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 27.3%
    Bayer Leverkusen 49.3%
    Draw 23.39%
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 6.15%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.5%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 27.3%
1-1 @ 10.82%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-1 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 1.97%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 49.3%

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