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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
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Mainz 05
0 - 1
Augsburg


Latza (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hahn (25')
Framberger (45'), Strobl (76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
44.54%27.03%28.42%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.6%56.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59%77.41%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.92%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77%35.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.02%71.97%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 44.54%
    Augsburg 28.42%
    Draw 27.03%
Mainz 05DrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 12.23%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.54%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 6.66%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 28.42%

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