Mainz 05
3 - 2
RB Leipzig

Niakhate (24', 35'), Barreiro (50')
Niakhate (40'), da Costa (75')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Adams (15'), Halstenberg (30')
Halstenberg (23'), Adams (70'), Orban (88'), Sorloth (90+2')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
13.99%	18.97%	67.04%

Both teams to score 52.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.53%

40.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.14%

62.86%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.96%

41.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.41%

77.59%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.84%

11.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.37%

35.63%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 13.99%

RB Leipzig 67.04%

Draw 18.97%

Mainz 05	Draw	RB Leipzig
1-0 @ 4.08% 2-1 @ 3.98% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.3% 3-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.63% Total : 13.99%	1-1 @ 8.95% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 4.37% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.13% Total : 18.97%	0-2 @ 11.01% 0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 8.05% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 4.41% 1-4 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 3.19% 0-5 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.75% 1-5 @ 1.72% Other @ 4.01% Total : 67.04%