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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Oct 18, 2020 at 5pm UK
Veltins-Arena
UB

Schalke
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Paciencia (69')
Skrzybski (71'), Paciencia (77'), Harit (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Friedrich (55')
Promel (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
35.9%25.4%38.7%
Both teams to score 56.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24%69.76%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24%25.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3%60.69%
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.56%
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 35.9%
    Union Berlin 38.7%
    Draw 25.39%
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.46%
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 5.74%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 35.9%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.85%
1-2 @ 8.51%
0-2 @ 6.27%
1-3 @ 4.02%
0-3 @ 2.96%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.7%


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