Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
