Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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