SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 0-1 (6.83%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
26.32% ( -0.03) | 21.64% ( 0) | 52.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.65% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.61% ( -0.05) | 34.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.69% ( -0.05) | 56.31% ( 0.05) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.04) | 25.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.06) | 60% ( 0.06) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( -0.01) | 13.5% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.46% ( -0.02) | 40.54% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 26.32% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.26% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.04% |
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