Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Porto had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a Porto win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
