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BL
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK
Camp Nou
F

Barcelona
5 - 1
Ferencvaros

Messi (27' pen.), Fati (42'), Coutinho (52'), Pedri (82'), Dembele (89')
Pique (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kharatin (70' pen.)
Bilal Laidouni (32'), Civic (44'), Kharatin (85'), Kovacevic (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.85%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Ferencvaros win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
BarcelonaDrawFerencvaros
71.76%21.49%6.75%
Both teams to score 23.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.68%66.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.2%84.8%
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94%18.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02%48.98%
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
28.73%71.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.59%95.41%
Score Analysis
    Barcelona 71.76%
    Ferencvaros 6.75%
    Draw 21.49%
BarcelonaDrawFerencvaros
1-0 @ 22.03%
2-0 @ 18.85%
3-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 6.38%
4-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 3.64%
5-0 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 71.76%
0-0 @ 12.87%
1-1 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 21.49%
0-1 @ 4.36%
1-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 6.75%


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