Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 6.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.85%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Ferencvaros win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.