Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Napoli had a probability of 15.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Napoli win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
