SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Brest had a probability of 13.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
13.49% ( 0.01) | 17.83% ( 0) | 68.69% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.8% ( -0) | 36.2% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.68% | 58.32% ( 0) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.98% ( 0.01) | 39.01% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% ( 0.01) | 75.74% ( -0) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.42% ( -0) | 9.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.96% ( -0) | 32.04% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brest | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 13.49% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.83% | 0-2 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 8.76% 0-3 @ 8.04% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.57% 0-4 @ 4.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 4.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.56% 0-5 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.09% 1-5 @ 2.08% ( -0)2-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 4.28% Total : 68.69% |
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