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Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 16, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
BL

Inter Milan
2 - 2
Bayern

Martinez (58'), Pavard (61')
Arnautovic (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (52'), Dier (76')
Min-jae (28'), Dier (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 37.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBayern Munich
38.57% (-1.507 -1.51) 23.84% (0.125 0.13) 37.59% (1.384 1.38)
Both teams to score 62.09% (-0.351 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (-0.506 -0.51)40.07% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56% (-0.526 -0.53)62.44% (0.53 0.53)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.926 -0.93)20.97% (0.93 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28% (-1.471 -1.47)53.72% (1.475 1.48)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.474 0.47)21.44% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.721 0.72)54.46% (-0.718 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 38.57%
    Bayern Munich 37.59%
    Draw 23.84%
Inter MilanDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.165 -0.16)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.216 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.86% (-0.183 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.33% (0.193 0.19)
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.271 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.27% (0.158 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.34% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.176 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.59%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Saturday, April 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Parma 2-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, April 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, April 2 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Udinese
Sunday, March 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Inter Milan
Sunday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bayern 2-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 Bayern
Friday, April 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-2 St Pauli
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-2 Bayern
Tuesday, March 11 at 8pm in Champions League


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